The National Hurricane Center (NHC) issued the first forecast cone for potential hurricane Ernesto this Sunday, warning that it could become a cyclone in five days, although there is no threat to Florida.
The NHC's forecast models indicate that the storm, currently identified as Potential Tropical System #5, will gradually strengthen as it moves through the Atlantic; however, its projected path suggests that it will remain away from the coasts of Florida.
However, residents of countries in the possible path of Ernesto were urged to stay informed and follow updates from the NHC, as weather conditions can change rapidly.
"Intense rainfall can cause significant flash flooding and landslides in parts of the northern Windward Islands on Tuesday and Wednesday, and in Puerto Rico from Wednesday to Thursday," the institution warned.
This development occurs amid a hurricane season that has shown increasing activity, highlighting the importance of preparedness and constant vigilance by communities in potentially affected areas, the NHC stated.
Regarding the future trajectory and development of the atmospheric disturbance, meteorologist Matt Devitt pointed out on Facebook that: "This storm will not be a threat to Florida!"
"The two most likely outcomes for Ernesto along the way would either be to curve out to sea like a 'fish' storm or make landfall in eastern Canada," he points out.
The NHC reported this Sunday that the environmental conditions in the North Atlantic, the Caribbean Sea, and the Gulf of Mexico are favorable for the development of a low-pressure system that could become a tropical depression in the coming days.
According to forecasts, there is an 80% chance that the system will develop into a tropical depression within the next 48 hours, and a 90% chance of this occurring in the next seven days.
For several days now, close monitoring has been maintained on this weather disturbance due to its potential impact on the Caribbean region.
The 2024 hurricane season continues to show signs of intense activity, with the Caribbean in the sights of new meteorological threats.
The NHC said that the peak of it is just around the corner –from late August to late September– and that up to 13 hurricanes could occur in total, from June 1 to November 30.
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