The possibility of a tropical depression in the Caribbean increases to 80%: Monitoring in the Greater and Lesser Antilles.

The National Hurricane Center (NHC) reported this Sunday that the environmental conditions in the North Atlantic, the Caribbean Sea, and the Gulf of Mexico are favorable for the development of a low-pressure system that could become a tropical depression in the coming days.

According to forecasts, there is an 80% chance that the system will develop into a tropical depression within the next 48 hours, and a 90% chance that this will happen within the next seven days.

This system, identified as AL98, is located less than 1000 miles east of the Lesser Antilles and is associated with rain and thunderstorms that have begun to show signs of organization.

As it moves westward, it is expected to approach and possibly affect the Leeward Islands and parts of the Greater Antilles by the middle of the week.

According to the NHC, residents of the Lesser and Greater Antilles should maintain constant vigilance over the development of this system, as warnings are likely to be issued in the coming hours.

The development of this system could have a significant impact on the region, so the population is urged to be prepared and follow weather updates.

The Cuban meteorologist Raydel Ruisanchez warned this Sunday on Facebook that the forecasting models are consistent in the formation of a tropical cyclone in the next 24 to 48 hours as it approaches the northern group of the Lesser Antilles.

"All residents within the red zone must be very attentive to possible changes and warnings that may be issued in the coming days," warned the specialist, and shared a graph suggesting that the weather disturbance is unlikely to cause significant impacts in Cuba.

He indicated that after 72 hours, a trough could cause the system to turn northwest and north over open waters of the Western Atlantic.

For several days, close monitoring of this meteorological disturbance has been in place due to its potential impact on the Caribbean region.

The 2024 hurricane season continues to show signs of intense activity, with the Caribbean in the sights of new weather threats.

The NHC said that the peak of it is just around the corner – from late August to late September – and that up to 13 hurricanes could occur in total from June 1 to November 30.