APP GRATIS

Six hurricanes are forecast for the 2023 season in the Atlantic

Specialists predict a near-average probability of major hurricanes making landfall along the continental coast of the United States and in the Caribbean.

Huracán Ian © NOAA
Hurricane Ian Photo © NOAA

The Department of Atmospheric Sciences at Colorado State University (CSU) forecastssix hurricanes in the Atlantic basin for the current2023 season, which begins June 1.

It is also estimated that in this period there will be13 tropical stormsnamed, 55 days of storms, 25 days of hurricanes, two major hurricanes, category 3-4-5, and five days of major hurricanes, the CSU explained in astatement.

"It is anticipated aseason slightly below than normal," specified Phil Klotzbach, CSU research scientist on his Twitter account.

The forecast states that a typical season has an average of 14.4 tropical storms, 69.4 named storms, 7.2 hurricanes, 27 hurricane days, 3.2 major hurricanes and 7.4 major hurricane days.

According to the information provided by the CSU, the current neutral conditions of the climate variability phenomenon (ENSO) seem quite likely for the El Niño phenomenon to occur this summer/autumn.

However, there is great uncertainty as to how intense it will be, should it develop.

Sea surface temperatures in the eastern and central Atlantic are much warmer than normal, so if a strong El Niño does not develop, there is still the potential for a very active hurricane season.

The boy It typically reduces Atlantic hurricane activity through increases in vertical wind shear.

Specialists predict a near-average probability of major hurricanes making landfall along the continental coast of the United States and in the Caribbean.

Previous AccuWeather analyzes also reported thatcurrent projections indicate that the 2023 season will be close to the historical average, with 11-15 tropical storms with the names: Arlene, Bret, Cindy, Don, Emily, Franklin, Gert, Harold, Idalia, José, Katia, Lee, Margot, Nigel, Ophelia, Philippe, Rina, Sean, Tammy, Vince and Whitney.

Likewise, they maintained that in those six months between four and eight tropical storms will reach hurricane status, and that between one and three could be of great intensity.

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