The 2024 hurricane season will be the most active in 30 years.

The meteorologists from Colorado State University (CSU), pioneers in seasonal hurricane forecasts, have updated their outlook for the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season and confirmed that it will be "extremely active," with 23 named storms, 11 hurricanes, and 5 major hurricanes (category 3 or higher).

These figures far exceed the average of the last 30 years, which is 14 named storms, 7 hurricanes, and 3 hurricanes of category 3 or higher in the Atlantic, as indicated in the 44-page report.

Just like its initial forecast in April, this is the most aggressive prediction in the 41-year history of CSU forecasts and coincides with the annual report published by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) at the end of May.

The current forecasts follow a month of record-breaking sea surface temperatures in the tropical waters of the Atlantic. Researchers highlight the warm seasonal water temperatures in the tropical and subtropical Atlantic of the easternmost region as strong predictors of hurricane season activity.

They also point out the influence of the La Niña phenomenon for the autumn: "The waters of the eastern Pacific around the equator continue to cool rapidly, suggesting a transition to La Niña conditions for the autumn," the publication details.

Government scientists predict the onset of La Niña between July and September, coinciding with the peak months of the hurricane season; they explain that when this phenomenon establishes itself in the eastern Pacific, it reduces wind shear in the Atlantic, especially near land areas, increasing the likelihood of Atlantic hurricanes making landfall.

Therefore, experts have warned that all precautions are necessary, as a devastating hurricane is needed to cause a bad season.

So far, the hurricane season in the Atlantic has had a quiet start, but this is not expected to last long.

Florida, a region very prone to hurricanes, implemented tax holidays for disaster preparedness, offering the opportunity to buy preparation items such as generators and other products tax-free. The opportunity to acquire these tax-free products ends this Friday.

This Tuesday, southern Florida is experiencing heavy rain, with rounds of slow-moving tropical showers anticipated throughout the week, increasing the risk of flash floods.

The entire southern region of the state is under flood watch until at least Wednesday night, and this watch is likely to be extended.

The forecasts issued by CSU during the hurricane season have historically shown considerable accuracy and higher skill scores than preseason forecasts, so the university's report should not be ignored.

Also, Rick Spinrad, administrator of NOAA, highlighted in a press conference at the end of May that the current forecasts are the highest ever issued by that agency in its regular report for the fifth month of the year, as in a typical season between seven hurricanes and three major hurricanes with sustained maximum winds of 178 km/h or more are usually recorded.

Similarly, experts from Cuba agreed with these forecasts. Specialists from the Climate Center and the Forecast Center of the Institute of Meteorology on the island reported that the 2024 hurricane season will be very active throughout the entire North Atlantic basin, which also includes the Gulf of Mexico and the Caribbean Sea.

"It is forecasted the formation of 20 tropical cyclones throughout the North Atlantic basin, of which 11 could reach hurricane status," said the Cubans.

Despite these predictions, meteorologists warn that preparation for hurricane season is crucial, as just one hurricane is enough to cause great devastation.

The Secretary of Homeland Security, Alejandro Mayorkas, urged communities to take measures to prepare for hurricane season, reminding them of the devastation these storms can cause.