Alert in the Caribbean: Possible tropical storm on the way

Cubans should remain attentive to the evolution of this meteorological system in the coming days, although it is too early to define the path it will take.

Formación de posible tormenta Tropical en el Caribe © NOAA
Formation of possible Tropical Storm in the CaribbeanPhoto © NOAA

The National Hurricane Center (NHC) warned this Thursday of the formation of a system in the eastern Atlantic (AL95) that could become a depression or tropical storm this weekend.

The system is located several hundred miles east of the Leeward Islands, but weather conditions are favorable for its strengthening in a few hours.

It is moving west at between 15 and 20 mph. The formation probability within 48 hours is 40%, but in the long term it increases, and in seven days there is a 70% probability of it becoming a tropical storm.

There are also possibilities of a wave (AL94) forming over the southwest Gulf of Mexico by the end of this week.

Forecasting models

This tropical wave over the western Caribbean Sea is producing disorganized rain and thunderstorm activity as it moves westward at around 20 mph. It is likely to become a tropical storm within seven days.

These systems could affect Cuba, particularly the one that is currently furthest away from the island according to the forecasts of its potential trajectory.

Facebook Lázaro Manuel Alonso

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) of the United States predicted a more active than usual hurricane season in the Atlantic.

It is expected that up to 13 hurricanes will form in the Caribbean region this year, with seven of them possibly being of great intensity.

From June 1st to November 30th, between 17 and 25 storms with winds exceeding 62 kilometers per hour will form.

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