Meteorologist warns about the beginning of the most active and dangerous period of the hurricane season.

The most active period of the current hurricane season began on August 20 and will last approximately six weeks.

The Puerto Rican meteorologist Rubén García explained on Facebook that this stage is considered the peak of the current season.

"According to historical data, and on average, 85% of the cyclonic activity in a hurricane season occurs after this date," noted the expert.

Although the most active period, which lasts six weeks, has just begun, the meteorologist emphasized that tranquility is expected in the Atlantic over the next seven to ten days.

"The models show that cyclonic activity may increase considerably from the last week of August," he indicated.

In another post, García explained that the University of Colorado published its forecast for cyclonic activity for the next two weeks, anticipating activity within normal levels, although they emphasize that the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season is expected to be extremely active.

Although no tropical cyclone development is expected in the next seven days, conditions are forecasted to become more favorable towards the end of August, as the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) is expected to be located over the Indian Ocean, which will enhance hurricane activity in the Atlantic.

Finally, he emphasized that the forecast remains at 23 tropical storms, 12 hurricanes of which six could be of major category.

However, Dr. Miriam Teresita Llanes Monteagudo, head of the Forecast Center at the Institute of Meteorology of Cuba, pointed out that the hurricane season of 2024 will have a very active behavior in the North Atlantic basin, which also includes the Gulf of Mexico and the Caribbean Sea, reported the official Cubadebate.

In this regard, it was pointed out that for the rest of the season, the formation of 15 tropical storms is expected in that entire geographical area, nine of which could reach hurricane status.

He explained to the news portal that, of the total tropical storms, 12 are expected to develop in the oceanic zone of the Atlantic and three in the Caribbean Sea, noting that there is a very high probability that at least one hurricane will form and intensify in the Caribbean (85%) and that one originating from the Atlantic will enter the Caribbean (70%).

The probability that Cuba will be affected by at least one hurricane is 80%, and in the case of at least one tropical storm, the probability reaches 90%, according to Dr. Llanes.

In June, meteorologists from Colorado State University predicted that the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season would be “extremely active,” with 23 named storms, 11 hurricanes, and 5 hurricanes of category 3 or higher.

These figures far exceed the average of the last 30 years, which is 14 named storms, 7 hurricanes, and 3 hurricanes of category 3 or higher in the Atlantic.

In May, the Cuban institution forecast the formation of 20 tropical cyclones in the entire North Atlantic basin, of which 11 could reach hurricane category.