A tropical wave south of Cuba has a high probability of developing into a depression

It is expected to become a tropical depression by the end of this week.


A tropical wave moving over the central Caribbean Sea has favorable conditions to develop into a tropical depression by the end of the weekend, according to the latest advisory from the National Hurricane Center.

The likelihood of development within a 48-hour period is 40 percent.

NOAA

However, the figure rises to 80 percent within a week.

The phenomenon, which is currently moving westward - providing some relief for Cuba - is creating "an area of disorganized rain and thunderstorms."

The NHC emphasized that "the environmental conditions appear favorable for development," and that a tropical depression is likely to form by the end of the week as the system moves slowly.

"Later, the disturbance is expected to meander over the western Caribbean Sea during the weekend and begin to move slowly, generally toward the northwest, at the beginning of next week," the U.S. meteorological entity added.

Interests in the western Caribbean Sea should monitor the progress of this system.

Rubiera urges to maintain vigilance.

The popular Cuban meteorologist, José Rubiera, alerted the public about this tropical wave and urged Cubans to stay informed about its development.

"It is crucial that we closely monitor the development of this system, as the conditions in the western Caribbean remain favorable for cyclonic development," stated Rubiera.

It also highlighted the influence of factors such as warm water and atmospheric humidity on the potential intensification of the tropical wave.

He also emphasized the importance of keeping people in areas that may be potentially affected informed as the system moves toward Central America.

The hopeful news for Cuba is that for now, the phenomenon is slowly moving westward, and if it continues on this path, it will not impact the country, which recently endured the strike of two hurricanes in just two weeks: first Oscar in Guantánamo and then Rafael in Artemisa and the other western provinces.

If a new tropical storm forms, it would be named Sara, the 18th of the current hurricane season.

Although the official end of the 2024 hurricane season in the Atlantic will be on November 30, meteorological threats show no signs of relenting.

In recent days, another phenomenon, in this case a low-pressure trough located in the eastern Caribbean Sea, also alarmed Cubans, particularly residents in the eastern part of the country, who have hardly managed to recover from the severe damage caused by Oscar in that region.

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