As the peak of the most active hurricane season in the last 30 years in the Atlantic approaches, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) adjusted its forecast, which confirms that up to 13 cyclones could form.
The new report reflects a slight but significant adjustment in NOAA's forecasts, which indicate a range of 17 to 24 named storms (winds of 39 mph or higher) and between 8 to 13 hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or higher).
Of these, between 4 and 7 could reach great intensity, with winds of 111 mph or higher.
The main modification compared to the initial forecast from May is the reduction in the total number of named storms predicted, which has decreased from 25 to 24.
The Administrator of NOAA, Rick Spinrad, emphasized that this update shows "that the peak of hurricane season is right around the corner."
In August and September is when the most severe impacts of hurricanes and tropical storms are historically recorded, he emphasized.
The 2024 hurricane season, which began on June 1 and will last until November 30, is considered very active, in fact the most active in the last three decades, because there are favorable conditions for the development of storms such as warmer sea temperatures and a reduction in vertical wind shear.
Compared to an average season, which produces 14 named storms, seven hurricanes, and three hurricanes of category 3 or higher, the current season could exceed these figures.
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