Forecast 610 MW of blackouts in Cuba despite the incorporation of two thermal power units.

The impact for midday will be around 350 MW.

Apagones en Cuba (Imagen de referencia) © YouTube/screenshot-Reuters
Blackouts in Cuba (Reference image)Photo © YouTube/screenshot-Reuters

Blackouts show no mercy in Cuba, and the planned addition this Friday of two thermal units that were out of service will be of little help, as the forecast for blackouts will remain above 600 MW, meaning it will be very similar to the previous day's situation.

This Thursday, the service was affected due to a generation capacity deficit for 24 hours. It was restored at 2:34 a.m., but complications persist for today.

The maximum impact of the day was recorded at 7:40 p.m., with an interruption of 639 MW, although this did not coincide with the peak consumption hour.

At 7:00 a.m. today, the availability of the National Electric System (SEN) was 2,500 MW, while the demand reached 2,470 MW, allowing the entire system to be operational.

However, it is estimated that during noon there could be a maximum impact of 350 MW.

Currently, several units are out of service due to malfunctions. This is the case for unit 1 of the Santa Cruz Thermoelectric Power Plant (CTE), unit 2 of the Felton CTE, and unit 5 of the Nuevitas CTE.

In addition to the damaged thermal power units, the limitations in thermal generation amount to 474 MW.

Additionally, 56 distributed generation plants are out of service due to a lack of fuel, resulting in an additional 408 MW affected.

To mitigate the situation during today's peak hour, the operation of unit 1 of the Santa Cruz CTE and unit 5 of the Nuevitas CTE is expected, each with a capacity of 70 MW.

However, it is estimated that by that time the availability will be 2,640 MW, while the maximum demand will reach 3,180 MW, resulting in a deficit of 540 MW.

That is to say, that neither the entry of the two units will spare Cubans from blackouts this Friday.

Therefore, if the expected conditions persist, a 610 MW impact is forecasted during peak hours.

Lázaro Guerra Hernández, general director of Electricity at the Ministry of Energy and Mines, spoke this Friday with his usual verbiage about the daily drama of millions of Cubans on the island, primarily those living in the interior of the country.

In the comments section of the written report from the Unión Eléctrica, dozens of Cubans expressed outrage over a situation that shows no signs of improvement.

"Better just set the annual deficit to 1000 MW so that they don’t waste more time and we don’t waste time either watching their disasters every morning and how our hopes drift further away each day"; "Good thing they prepared for this summer because if not..."; "It’s evident that the issues are due to a lack of fuel"; "Well, day by day it’s down 0.5 but it’s something," were some of the questions.

What do you think?

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