Surveillance in the Caribbean: Probability of tropical depression formation increases

The system is moving towards the Caribbean and Cuba.

Sistema © NHC
SystemPhoto © NHC

The hurricane season is still in full swing in the Atlantic Ocean, and the National Hurricane Center (NHC) of the United States has raised the probability to 60 percent that a developing tropical wave will become a tropical depression in the coming days.

According to the latest report from the NHC, the weather system is currently over the eastern tropical Atlantic, producing a wide area of rain and disorganized thunderstorms.

The probability that this tropical wave will develop into a tropical depression has increased to 60% in the next seven days, up from the 40% reported yesterday. In the next 48 hours, the probability of formation remains low, close to 0%.

Publication ofNHC

The NHC predicts that the tropical wave will move west-northwest, approaching the Lesser Antilles early next week, and could continue its path toward the Greater Antilles around the middle of the week, when it would affect the Caribbean and Cuba.

The conditions for the development of the system will improve as it moves west-northwest, according to the U.S. entity.

On Thursday, Cuban meteorologist Raydel Ruisanchez alerted residents of the Caribbean, especially in the Lesser Antilles, Puerto Rico, and the Dominican Republic, to maintain active surveillance over the evolution of this system.

This potential tropical depression adds to the concern generated by the recent passage of Post-Tropical Storm Debby, which has caused significant damage in the United States, including four deaths in Florida.

The 2024 hurricane season continues to show signs of intense activity, with the Caribbean in the sights of new meteorological threats.

This Friday, the NOAA stated that the peak of the season is just around the corner –from late August to late September– and that up to 13 hurricanes could occur in total, from June 1 to November 30.

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