They warn about the possible development of a tropical depression heading towards the Caribbean Sea.

The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is monitoring a tropical wave (AL94) in the central tropical Atlantic that is moving towards the Caribbean Sea and could increase its chances of development in the coming days.

It is a well-defined area of low pressure, currently located several hundred miles west of the Cape Verde Islands, that is producing some showers and disorganized thunderstorms, according to the NHC in its most recent bulletin on the subject.

The tropical wave AL 94 is currently embedded in a dry environment and is unlikely to develop within a 48-hour period (only 10 percent).

However, it is forecasted that the system will move westward into warmer waters, and environmental conditions could become more favorable for its gradual development by the end of this week, when it could turn into a tropical depression.

Although right now the system has a low formation probability within a 48-hour period, that percentage rises to 50 percent over a span of seven days.

Hurricane season 2024

The 2024 Atlantic hurricane season has been marked by significant activity, with 13 named storms recorded so far.

The current activity in the Atlantic basin has led to the classification of the season as "above normal."

According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), this categorization is based on the Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) index, which measures the frequency, intensity, and duration of storms.

So far, the season has generated 127 in ACE, meeting the criteria established by NOAA to be considered above average.

The hurricane season officially runs from June 1 to November 30, which means there are still more than seven weeks left for possible additional developments.

Historically, the months of August and September tend to be the most active, although significant storms have also been recorded in October and November.

The next tropical storms that form will be named Nadine and Oscar.

Meteorologists warn that, despite an apparent calm in the tropics near the United States in the coming days, the risk of new storm formation persists, according to information from AccuWeather.