Alert in Cuba: A tropical depression will form in the Caribbean Sea

Forecasts indicate that the depression will strengthen and move towards the western part of Cuba, following a trajectory similar to that of Hurricane Rafael.


The National Hurricane Center (NHC) in the United States reported an increased likelihood of a tropical depression forming in the Caribbean Sea before the end of the week.

According to the latest bulletin issued this Tuesday, disorganized rain and thunderstorms are occurring over the central Caribbean Sea, associated with a large area of low pressure.

Forecasting model

The chances of that area of low pressure developing into a tropical cyclone in the next two to three days are 60%, as the system moves slowly westward toward the western Caribbean Sea.

Forecasting Model

Within a span of seven days, the probabilities rise to 90%. Less than 24 hours ago, the figure was at 80%.

"The system is expected to begin moving slowly northwest early next week," estimates the NHC, which points out that interests in the western and northwestern Caribbean Sea should monitor the progress of this system.

According to experts' estimates, the phenomenon is expected to move northwest, towards the western region of Cuba, following a path similar to that of Hurricane Rafael.

The renowned Cuban meteorologist José Rubiera warned about this tropical wave and urged the public to stay vigilant regarding its development.

Rubiera noted that the conditions in the western Caribbean are conducive to cyclonic development, due to factors such as warm water and atmospheric humidity.

If a new tropical storm forms, it would be the 18th of the current hurricane season and would be named Sara.

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