Donald Trump would have a six percentage point lead over Kamala Harris in the state of Florida, according to a poll released this Sunday, just over three weeks before the elections on November 5.
The survey, conducted by the firm Mason-Dixon for Telemundo 51 and NBC6, provides insight into the opinions of Florida voters regarding the presidential elections, the battle for the Senate, and some constitutional amendments that will be put to a vote.
The results of the survey - conducted among 625 registered voters - indicate that the Republican ticket of Donald Trump and J.D. Vance has 49 percent of the preferences compared to 43 percent for the Democrats Kamala Harris and Tim Walz.
Six percent said they were undecided.
Harris leads the female vote by 49-44 percent, while Trump has a 55-37 advantage among men.
Trump is ahead among white voters (56-37) and Hispanic voters (47-42), while Harris has the majority of preferences among African American voters (78-12).
By region, it was determined that 60 percent of those surveyed in southwest Florida would vote for Trump and 35 percent for Harris; 53 percent in the southeast favored the Democratic candidate and 36 percent favored their Republican opponent.
In the center, 53 percent expressed support for the former ruler and 42 percent for Harris.
In the Tampa Bay area, Trump leads 48-42 against Harris, and in the northern part of the state, the former president would defeat his Democratic opponent 59-32 in voter intent.
The survey indicated that 47 percent of likely registered voters aged 18 to 34 favored Harris compared to 46 percent for Trump.
Among those aged 35 to 49, 45 percent also expressed support for the vice president compared to 44 percent for the former president.
However, Trump leads among registered voters aged 50 to 64 with 52-38. He also wins among voters aged 65 and older, where he leads with 53 percent compared to the vice president's 43.
In the Senate race, the poll shows that Republican Senator Rick Scott has 48 percent of voter preferences, compared to 41 percent for Democratic candidate, former Congresswoman Debbie Mucarsel-Powell.
Mucarsel-Powell, of Ecuadorian origin, leads among women (48-41), while Scott has the advantage among men (55-35).
The Republican senator surpasses his rival among white voters (55-35) and Hispanic voters (47-41), while African Americans favor Mucarsel-Powell (79-9).
The survey also includes results for Amendment 3 on the Florida ballot, related to the legalization of marijuana, and for Amendment 4, regarding the abortion rights initiative.
According to the survey, a majority of registered likely voters support the "yes" positions for both constitutional amendments, with 58 and 61 percent, respectively. The amendments need 60 percent of the votes to be approved.
The survey, conducted by phone between October 1 and 4, has a margin of error of ± 4 percentage points.
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