The energy situation in Cuba remains critical. Despite the recent reintegration of two thermoelectric units that were out of service into the National Electric System, the forecast for power outages this Monday is again expected to reach 1,366 MW.
According to the report from Unión Eléctrica (UNE) for November 4th, there are currently seven thermoelectric units out of operation: three due to breakdowns and four undergoing maintenance.
Yesterday, the electric service in Cuba was disrupted for 24 hours due to a shortfall in generation capacity. This situation has persisted throughout the early hours of today, affecting the stability of the National Electric System (SEN).
The highest impact due to generation capacity deficit this Sunday was 1,349 MW at 6:20 PM. Additionally, there were 3 MW affected in the province of Guantánamo as a result of Hurricane Oscar.
The availability of the SEN at 7:00 a.m. today was 1,650 MW, while the demand was 2,440 MW, resulting in a deficit of capacity of 804 MW.
By noon on this Monday, blackouts are anticipated to reach around 1,050 MW, primarily concentrated in the eastern-central region due to high transfers to that area.
According to the report, the list of malfunctioning thermoelectric units is as follows: unit 5 of the CTE Mariel, unit 5 of the CTE Nuevitas, and unit 2 of the CTE Felton.
Units 2 of the Santa Cruz Power Plant, 3 of the Cienfuegos Power Plant, 1 of the Felton Power Plant, and 5 of the Renté Power Plant are currently under maintenance.
The limitations in thermal generation are 445 MW.
Seventy distributed generation plants with a capacity of 332 MW are out of service due to fuel issues, along with the Santiago de Cuba plant, which has a capacity of 64 MW. This totals 396 MW that are currently not operational.
For today's peak hours, the activation of eight CDE Moa engines is expected, which would contribute 104 MW, along with the recovery of 100 MW from distributed generation plants that are currently out of service due to a lack of fuel.
If these forecasts are met, the total availability during the peak would be 1,854 MW, compared to an estimated maximum demand of 3,150 MW, resulting in a deficit of 1,296 MW.
It is anticipated that, if these conditions persist, the impact during peak hours could reach 1,366 MW, with a greater effect in the central-eastern region.
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