The elected president of the United States, Donald Trump, could implement a set of new, more restrictive measures against the Cuban regime when he takes office in January 2025.
The journalist Mario J. Pentón interviewed political analyst Juan Antonio Blanco, president of the organization Cuba Siglo 21, on this topic.
The analysis began with the impact of Trump's policies toward Cuba during his first term and the potential tightening of those policies in the imminent future.
Blanco explained that these measures are aimed at suffocating the island's economy and strengthening the internal opposition. A hypothetical scenario is that the new actions are a continuation of his first term.
- Reinforce the economic embargo: Increase trade and financial restrictions against Cuba.
- Restrict travel: Further reduce the visits of U.S. citizens to the island.
- Eliminate remittances: Prevent the sending of money from the United States to Cuba.
- Revoke investments: Withdraw permits and cooperation and business agreements.
- Designating Cuba as a state sponsor of terrorism: Maintain this classification.
- Expand the use of Title III of the Helms-Burton Act: Promote more lawsuits.
- Increase sanctions on oil shipments: Halt the flow of fuel to Cuba.
- Strengthen support for the opposition: Increase financial and logistical assistance to opposition groups.
- Reduce the diplomatic staff at the U.S. Embassy in Havana: Once again limit the official U.S. presence on the island.
However, some of these measures would no longer be necessary according to Blanco, as their implementation during Donald Trump's first term was so effective that the challenges now would be different.
The Trump Administration was able to significantly reduce remittances to Cuba, a topic that no longer requires as much attention as it did in the past.
Travel from Americans to the island has significantly decreased due to Trump's policies and the current low demand, making it less of a priority on the agenda of restrictions.
The year 2025 presents a different landscape, suggesting that Trump's new measures could focus on other areas.
One of the most powerful and strategic areas will be the management of the migration crisis. This aspect would include the implementation of more aggressive policies to control the flow of migrants from the island to the United States.
This is compounded by the potential execution of mass deportations, which would create a new pressure front on the Cuban regime.
Blanco noted that the new measures aim to further weaken the government and its international relations, promoting political change on the island.
The hardening of policy toward Cuba is a key point in Trump's strategy to solidify his support base in Florida.
This analysis helps to understand the potential political dynamics between the United States and Cuba in the coming years. The projections, although not officially confirmed by Trump's campaign, reflect a likely scenario based on the Republican leader's track record.
The relationship between both countries could become even more strained, leading Cuba to seek new international allies to mitigate the effects of a severe embargo.
Filed under:
