Not even 400,000 barrels are enough: why the shipment that arrived in Matanzas will not resolve the energy crisis in Cuba

The arrival of the tanker Sandino at the port of Matanzas with an estimated cargo of between 390,000 and 410,000 barrels of fuel has generated expectations amidst the energy crisis that Cuba is facing. However, specialists and observers agree that this volume, while significant, is not enough to solve the structural problems of the national energy system.

For several years, Cuba has been facing a progressive deterioration of its electrical infrastructure, characterized by obsolete thermoelectric plants, lack of maintenance, and a high dependence on imported fuels. This combination has led to prolonged blackouts, disruptions in public transportation, and severe limitations on economic activity.

A temporary relief amidst the collapse

In practical terms, a cargo such as that transported by the Sandino would only meet immediate and specific needs, whether for electricity generation or for strategic sectors such as transportation and some essential services. However, the country's daily fuel consumption far exceeds what a single vessel can provide.

Recent experience shows that similar shipments have only served as temporary patches, unable to prevent the return of blackouts and restrictions just a few weeks after their unloading.

External dependency and lack of stability

The current crisis is not limited to the temporary shortage of fuel; it is a result of the lack of stable and predictable supplies. The reduction in shipments from former allies and the inability to access international credit have forced the regime to rely on sporadic shipments and opaque logistical operations.

This instability hinders the planning of electricity generation in the medium term and keeps the country operating with minimal reserves, which means that any disruption or delay has immediate consequences for the population.

A problem without a short-term solution

Although the arrival of the Sandino may provide a brief respite, it does not change the underlying causes of the energy crisis. Without sustained investments, regular access to fuels, and a genuine modernization of the electrical system, Cuba will continue to face blackouts, shortages, and a direct impact on the quality of life of its citizens.

In that context, the nearly 400,000 barrels that arrived in Matanzas represent more of an emergency measure than a lasting solution to a problem that continues to worsen.