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A new bipartisan poll by UnidosUS published this Wednesday reveals that Latino voters' disillusionment with Donald Trump is accelerating as the November 2026 midterm elections approach, although Democrats are also failing to capitalize on this discontent.
The survey, conducted between April 27 and May 14 among 3,000 registered Latino voters in 32 competitive congressional districts, shows that 54% plan to vote for a Democratic candidate for the House of Representatives, 27% for a Republican candidate, and 19% remain undecided.
That figure of 54% is identical to the Democratic result in the 2024 elections and represents a steady decline from the 69% that the party achieved in 2018, 63% in 2020, and 60% in 2022.
UnidosUS points out that both parties are performing below their 2024 levels among Latinos, indicating widespread dissatisfaction with the leadership of both groups.
Trump's decline among Hispanics is significant and has accelerated. One in four Latino voters who supported him in 2024 says they would not vote for him again, a figure that has risen from 9% in April 2025 to 13% in November of that same year.
In contrast, only 5% of those who supported Kamala Harris in 2024 say they would not vote for her again.
67% of Latino voters disapprove of Trump's administration, with a majority disapproval in all surveyed regions, including Florida, where the rejection reaches 51%.
The main factors driving this negative opinion are the cost of living and inflation (44%), immigration control (33%), employment and wages (26%), and the war with Iran (25%).
Only 15% of Latinos say they live comfortably, and 68% believe the country is headed in the wrong direction, compared to 60% who felt the same way in April 2025.
Economic priorities dominate the Latin agenda as Congress approaches: cost of living and inflation (60%), economy and employment (40%), health (37%), and housing (27%). Immigration ranks fifth, with only 21%.
However, the survey also contains warning signs for Democrats. Only 31% of Hispanic Democrats say they are motivated to vote in support of their own candidates, compared to 52% of Hispanic Republicans, a gap in enthusiasm that could affect participation in key districts.
In immigration matters, more than 70% of Latinos oppose additional funding for the Immigration and Customs Enforcement without conditions, and 44% fear that immigration authorities will harass or arrest members of their community, even if they are citizens or legal residents.
About Cuba, 57% of Latinos oppose U.S. military intervention, although more than 60% of Cuban Americans would support it, in a context where Trump has publicly considered that possibility.
Texas emerges as a key testing ground, with 51% of the state's Latinos leaning towards the Democratic candidate James Talarico compared to 24% who support the Republican Ken Paxton in the Senate race.
Democratic strategist Chuck Rocha, campaign advisor to Talarico, summarized the moment this way: "Latino voters in Texas have leaned to the right in recent election cycles, but due to Donald Trump's broken promises and the presence of ICE agents on our streets detaining law-abiding immigrants, the Latino community is drastically returning to support the Democrats. Something is happening in Texas, and Latinos are fed up with being fed up."
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