A recent survey reveals an increase in support for the Democratic Party among Latino voters in the lead-up to the midterm elections on November 3, 2026, in a context marked by discontent with the Trump administration's immigration policy and concerns about the economy.
The survey, conducted by BSP Research and Shaw & Co. for the American Business Coalition on Immigration (ABIC) and American Families United (AFU), consulted 1,353 registered Latino voters across seven key states: Arizona, Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Texas.
Their results indicate that the Democratic candidates for Congress would receive between six and ten percentage points more of the Hispanic vote than Kamala Harris in 2024, while Republicans would lose about five points compared to what Trump achieved with that electorate.
The movement is particularly pronounced in Pennsylvania, where the Democratic Latino vote would rise by 10 points to 60%, while the Republican vote would fall by 11 points to 26%.
In Georgia, Republicans would maintain their 2024 level with 25% of the Latino vote, while Democrats would gain three points to reach 63%. In Texas, Republicans would drop one point while Democrats would rise by three.
Among the main factors highlighted by the respondents are the rejection of the Trump administration's immigration policies and concerns about the economic situation.
«Immigration is once again a central issue for Latinos. And yes, we believe that this is significantly harming Republicans in the current elections,» explained to the newspaper El País Matt Barreto, who oversaw the survey.
“Many of them say they have a personal connection with someone who is undocumented. They know someone who has been detained or deported, whether it's in their family, in their close community, or even in their own church,” he added.
Sixty-three percent of Latinos in key states indicate that the treatment of immigrants is "one of my top concerns" for 2026, and 59% support creating a pathway to legal status for undocumented individuals with U.S. citizen family members.
The trend crosses party lines: 64% of Latinos who identify as Republicans, 68% of independents, and 85% of Democrats say they will vote for candidates who prioritize work permits over mass deportations.
Nonetheless, the Latino vote remains volatile: 39% have an unfavorable view of Democrats in Congress, while 63% feel the same way about Republicans.
In parallel with the release of the survey, more than 200 Hispanic leaders launched the Unity Campaign of the Comité de 100, sending a letter to President Trump and Congressional leaders to demand work permits and legal protections for long-term undocumented immigrants.
The letter was signed by both Democrats —such as representatives Delia Ramírez, Sylvia García, and Verónica Escobar— and Republicans, including Florida state senator Ileana García, founder of the group Latinas for Trump.
"Latino voters are fed up. We are losing our workforce due to these deportations. Since January, we have lost 200,000 immigrant workers each month. Simply put, there is no way to sustain our economy without the long-standing immigrants who made our prosperity possible," warned Massey Villarreal, co-chair of the Committee of 100, to the same outlet.
The organizations LULAC, NALEO, UnidosUS, the National Conference of Hispanic Christian Leadership, and America's Voice joined the initiative.
Representative Sylvia García advocated for the approval of the American Dream and Promise Act, which would create a pathway to legalize DACA recipients and those under Temporary Protected Status (TPS), programs rescinded by the Trump administration.
In the midterm elections, all 435 seats in the House of Representatives and over a third of the Senate seats will be at stake.
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