A recent survey reveals that the Democratic Party is regaining support among Latino voters ahead of the midterm elections on November 3, 2026, driven by discontent with the Trump administration's immigration policy and the deterioration of the economy.
The survey, conducted by BSP Research and Shaw & Co. for the American Business Immigration Coalition (ABIC) and American Families United (AFU), consulted 1,353 registered Latino voters in seven key states: Arizona, Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Texas.
Their results indicate that Democratic candidates for Congress would receive between six and 10 percentage points more of the Hispanic vote than Kamala Harris in 2024, while Republicans would lose about five points compared to what Trump achieved among that electorate.
The shift is particularly pronounced in Pennsylvania, where the Democratic Latino vote would increase by 10 points to reach 60%, while the Republican vote would decrease by 11 points to 26%.
In Georgia, Republicans would maintain their 2024 level with 25% of the Latino vote, but Democrats would gain three points to reach 63%. In Texas, Republicans would drop by one point while Democrats would rise by three.
The change is attributed to two main factors: the rise in the cost of living—exacerbated in part by the war in Iran and fuel prices—and the perception that immigration policy has gone too far.
«Immigration is once again a central issue for Latinos. And yes, we believe this is significantly harming Republicans in the current elections,» explained Matt Barreto to the newspaper El País who supervised the survey.
"Many of them say they have a personal connection with someone undocumented. They know someone who has been detained or deported, whether in their family, in their close community, or even in their own church," he added.
Sixty-three percent of Latinos in key states indicate that the treatment of immigrants is "one of my top concerns" for 2026, and 59% support creating a pathway to legal status for undocumented individuals with U.S. citizen family members.
The trend crosses party lines: 64% of Latinos who identify as Republicans, 68% of independents, and 85% of Democrats say they will vote for candidates who prioritize work permits over mass deportations.
Nevertheless, the Latino vote remains volatile: 39% have an unfavorable view of Democrats in Congress, while 63% have an unfavorable view of Republicans.
In parallel to the publication of the survey, more than 200 Hispanic leaders launched the Unity Campaign of the Comité de 100, sending a letter to President Trump and Congressional leaders to demand work permits and legal protections for long-term undocumented immigrants.
The letter was signed by both Democrats —such as representatives Delia Ramírez, Sylvia García, and Verónica Escobar— and Republicans, including Florida state senator Ileana García, founder of the group Latinas for Trump.
“ Hispanic voters are fed up. We are losing our workforce due to these deportations. Since January, we have lost 200,000 immigrant workers every month. Simply put, there is no way to sustain our economy without the long-standing immigrants who made our prosperity possible,” warned the same outlet Massey Villarreal, co-chair of the Committee of 100.
The organizations LULAC, NALEO, UnidosUS, the National Conference of Hispanic Christian Leadership, and America's Voice joined the initiative.
Representative Sylvia García advocated for the approval of the American Dream and Promise Act, which would create a pathway to legalize DACA recipients and those with Temporary Protected Status (TPS), programs terminated by the Trump administration.
On November 3, all 435 seats in the House of Representatives, 35 in the Senate, and 36 governorships will be up for renewal, with control of Congress at stake and the Latino vote serving as a potentially decisive factor.
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