The survey conducted this Wednesday on the CiberCuba Noticias Facebook page, aimed primarily at a Cuban audience, shows a clear inclination towards Donald Trump in the recent presidential debate that pitted him against Kamala Harris, less than two months before the elections on November 5 in the United States.
This result is interesting when compared to other national polls in the U.S., such as the one conducted by CNN, which gave Harris a victory, with a 63% lead over Trump's 37%, in the 90-minute debate held between both presidential candidates on Tuesday night.
This first presidential debate, held at the ABC News studios in Philadelphia, included among the main topics immigration, abortion, the economy in the United States, and the war conflicts in Gaza and Ukraine.
The contrast between the surveys on the exchange highlights how the Cuban audience in Florida, and the Latino community in general, may have different preferences from the wider public in the United States.
Voting results:
- Donald Trump:521 votes
- Kamala Harris:126 votes
- Neutral:269 reviews
The audience that participated in this survey is predominantly Cuban, with a strong presence in Florida, a key state in the U.S. elections. This support reflects the voting trend of Cubans and Latinos in that state, which in recent years has favored the Republican Party.
Comparison with national surveys
In contrast to the results of the CiberCuba survey, mainstream media outlets like CNN and ABC show the Democratic candidate Kamala Harris as the winner of the debate.
The CNN survey indicated that 63% of viewers favored the current vice president of the country, while 37% supported former Republican president Trump.
The difference between the two polls reflects the demographic impact on perceptions of the debate. While the Cuban and Latino audience in Florida has shown a tendency towards Trump, national results suggest that Harris is better received by the general public.
The Cuban and Latino vote in Florida is historically key in U.S. elections. The Cuban community, especially in South Florida, has been a stronghold of support for Republican candidates due to its opposition to socialist regimes and its affinity for more conservative policies. This has been reflected in previous elections, where Trump received significant support among Latino voters, particularly Cuban Americans.
Therefore, the results of this CiberCuba survey are not surprising in this context. However, they strongly contrast with the general opinion expressed in national surveys in the U.S., which favor Harris.
Amid the polarization that characterizes the U.S. elections of 2024, the country's major media outlets began to present expert analyses, opinions, and polls early this Wednesday to determine which candidate emerged as "the winner" of the debate.
The first reactions collected on their online front pages agree in highlighting that the Democratic candidate kept Trump "on the defensive" with her "provocative" speech, managing to unsettle and make the Republican candidate nervous.
"Harris keeps Trump on the defensive," published The Washington Post's website minutes after the debate ended. For its part, The New York Times also highlighted that the vice president put the former president on the defensive by bringing up his legal troubles or his management of the pandemic.
The Miami Herald also reported on Harris's harassment of Trump, while noting that the former president amplified "false information," such as what he claimed about Haitian immigrants who allegedly kidnapped and ate pets in Ohio, a statement that has led to the emergence of countless memes on social media.
A few hours after the debate, former President Trump claimed that he won the face-to-face encounter with the Democratic candidate.
In statements made via telephone to the morning program "Fox and Friends" on Fox News, he criticized the ABC News network, which aired the debate, which, in his opinion, was "completely rigged."
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