Relentless: The UNE predicts a new record of blackouts in Cuba for this Thursday.

The energy chaos on the island shows no signs of a truce or even improvement as we approach October 17.


The Electric Union (UNE) has forecasted another dark day of blackouts in Cuba for this Thursday.

The energy chaos on the island shows no signs of respite or even improvement as we approach October 17, when the forecasted impact is a record: 1,678 MW.

As has become customary, yesterday the service was affected due to a deficit in generation capacity throughout the 24 hours of the day, and the service could not be restored in the early morning today.

The maximum impact was 1,589 MW at 7:20 p.m.

In today's report, the Electric Union (UNE) of Cuba acknowledged that the blackouts exceeded the planned 1,445 MW.

They argued that it was "due to the non-entry of unit 5 of the CTE Diez de Octubre and unit 3 of the CTE Antonio Maceo," two units that, according to yesterday's report, were supposed to start providing service.

The availability of the National Electroenergetic System (SEN) at 7:00 a.m. on this Thursday was 1,600 MW and the demand was 2,600 MW, with 1,072 MW affected by a deficit in generation capacity.

Such a situation will lead to estimated blackouts of around 1,400 MW by midday, a very high and also record figure for daytime hours.

Currently, Unit 5 of the Nuevitas CTE, Unit 2 of the Felton CTE, Unit 4 of Energas Varadero, and Unit 3 of the Renté CTE are out of service.

Unit 2 of the Santa Cruz CTE, Unit 4 of the Cienfuegos CTE, and Unit 5 of the Renté CTE are under maintenance.

That is to say, at the moment the same seven thermoelectric units from the previous day remain out of service.

The limitations in thermal generation are 441 MW.

Fifty distributed generation plants are out of service due to fuel (13 more than yesterday), the Mariel barge, the Mariel CDE, the Regla barge, 11 engines from the Melones barge, and the Santiago de Cuba barge, resulting in a total of 799 MW affected; of this, 325 MW in distributed generation, 390 MW in the barges, and 84 MW in the Mariel CDE.

During peak hours, the entry of unit 5 of the CTE Nuevitas is estimated to be 75 MW (in the starting process) and unit 4 of Energas Varadero with 17 MW.

Based on this forecast, the UNE estimates a peak availability of 1,692 MW and a maximum demand of 3,300 MW, resulting in a deficit of 1,608 MW.

If the expected conditions persist, a record impact of 1,678 MW is forecasted for the night, that is, during the peak demand hours.

UNDER CONSTRUCTION

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