Juan Antonio Blanco, president of the think tank Cuba Siglo XXI, believes that there is a significant likelihood that the United States could respond with a surgical military intervention in the Island in the event of a repressive action by the Díaz-Canel regime, based on the disparity of forces between the weapons held by the state and the people.
According to an interview given to CiberCuba, in which he predicted that crime would increase in the Island in 2025, Juan Antonio Blanco stated that Cuba could experience a situation similar to what happened in Syria in 2017, when the Trump Administration responded to the use of chemical weapons against the civilian population by Bashar Al Assad's regime with a targeted strike on a strategic airbase, launching 59 Tomahawk missiles.
"There are many people in the government who think that," Blanco responded to CiberCuba's question about the real chances of Trump ordering a military intervention in Cuba.
"The system has collapsed in Cuba. It remains to be seen whether Cuban society will explode. What will be the reaction of the repressive forces? And if that happens, what response could occur this time that hasn't happened before? Will people resort not only to protests but also to some violent method to confront the repressive forces? In the Trump era, would the Administration react with a military attack as happened in Syria?" wonders the president of Cuba Siglo XXI.
In Juan Antonio Blanco's opinion, Cuba meets all the criteria to be considered a failed state, with one exception: the regime's territorial control over the country. With four widespread blackouts and the evident inability of the Cuban communists to provide essential public services such as healthcare, education, and social care, it is hard to believe that the population won't explode. In that case, he insists, it cannot be ruled out that this time, under Trump, the United States may react differently.
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