The National Defense Civil Staff issued an informative note this Thursday due to the proximity of a tropical wave located in the eastern Caribbean Sea, which could have a direct impact on the eastern region of Cuba in the coming days.
According to the Forecast Center of the Institute of Meteorology (INSMET), the tropical wave, which still lacks an organized structure, shows disorganized areas of showers, rain, and thunderstorms.
However, it is expected that within 12 to 24 hours, a broad area of low pressure may develop near the Bahamas.
"Regardless of the evolution and future development of this system, its proximity to the eastern region will increase the likelihood of precipitation from Camagüey to Guantánamo", warns the official report.
This weather system comes at a critical time for Cuba, as the soils in Eastern Cuba have been severely affected by a prolonged drought.
For this reason, the Civil Defense emphasized the need to enhance hydrometeorological monitoring, especially in areas prone to flooding and landslides.
In addition, he urged decision-makers to stay informed and to "maintain ongoing information and guidance for the public through media outlets and official social media profiles," also using alternative means in hard-to-reach communities.
Updated report from the National Hurricane Center
In line with the Cuban alert, the National Hurricane Center (NHC) of the United States issued its latest report on this phenomenon, identified as system AL94.
"Rain and thunderstorms continue to show signs of organization in association with a tropical wave located near Hispaniola and the Turks and Caicos Islands," stated the NHC, adding that the formation of a low pressure system is expected in the coming hours as the system moves toward the southeast of the Bahamas.
It is estimated that this low could develop into a tropical depression between today and the weekend as it moves northwest or north over the southwestern Atlantic.
The U.S. agency forecasted heavy rains and gusty winds for areas such as the Dominican Republic, Haiti, the Turks and Caicos Islands, and likely eastern Cuba.
"While there is significant uncertainty about the long-term path and intensity of the system, the likelihood of impacts from wind, rain, and storm surge in a portion of the southeastern U.S. coast over the coming days is increasing," noted the weather center.
High probability of cyclonic development
According to the NHC, the tropical wave has a high probability (80%) of development within 48 hours and a 90% chance over the next seven days, figures that indicate a strong potential for its transformation into a significant tropical system.
Cuban meteorological authorities have not issued a cyclone alert so far, but they are closely monitoring the development of the phenomenon.
It is expected that in the coming hours, the Institute of Meteorology of Cuba will issue new reports or special alerts, depending on the development of the system and its potential impact on the national territory.
While the future behavior of the tropical wave is being determined, the Civil Defense recommends:
-Closely monitor the official weather reports from INSMET and the announcements from the Civil Defense.
-Exercise extreme caution in flood-prone areas, swollen rivers, or unstable slopes.
-Avoid the spread of rumors or unverified information.
-Prioritize the safety of human life above material goods.
Frequently asked questions about the tropical wave threatening eastern Cuba
What is the current situation of the tropical wave that could affect Cuba?
The tropical wave is located in the eastern Caribbean Sea and could have a direct impact on the eastern region of Cuba in the coming days. It is expected that within 12 to 24 hours, a broad area of low pressure may develop near the Bahamas, which will increase the likelihood of rainfall from Camagüey to Guantánamo.
What measures does the Civil Defense in Cuba recommend in response to the arrival of this tropical wave?
The Civil Defense recommends increasing hydrometeorological monitoring, especially in areas prone to flooding and landslides. It is also advised to closely follow official weather reports and keep the public informed through official media and social networks.
What forecasts has the National Hurricane Center issued regarding this tropical wave?
The National Hurricane Center (NHC) has identified the phenomenon as system AL94 and anticipates the formation of a low pressure area in the coming hours as the system moves southeast of the Bahamas. There is a high likelihood that it will develop into a tropical depression between today and the weekend.
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