CiberCuba survey: Majority of Cubans believe that Raúl Castro's death will not bring changes

A survey reveals that most Cubans do not expect changes following the death of Raúl Castro, with 63% anticipating a continuation of the regime. Only 9% foresee a possible opening.

Almost two-thirds of voters anticipate the continuity of the Cuban regimePhoto © Facebook/CMKX Radio Bayamo

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A survey by CiberCuba regarding the future of the country, following the death of Raúl Castro, revealed that a majority of nearly two-thirds of voters expect continuity of the regime, and only a minority believes in the possibility of political or social opening.

The survey, published on our media's Facebook page, asked users: "What will happen in Cuba after Raúl Castro's death?"

Of the 2,698 votes counted so far at the time of writing this note, 63% chose the option "Nothing changes, the system remains the same," which confirms a perception of solidity in the regime's structure beyond its historical leaders.

Facebook Capture/CiberCuba

25% favored "Internal Restructuring," suggesting that some of the respondents anticipate shifts within the elites, though without significant repercussions for the population.

Only 9% believed that Castro's disappearance could lead to "crisis and opening," while 3% were divided among a fourth option that was not described in the publication.

Overall, 97% of the votes were concentrated on scenarios of immobility or superficial changes, compared to a small sector that considers a real opening possible.

The survey also recorded 79 comments and 164 reactions, reflecting an active debate, but one dominated by skepticism regarding immediate transformations in the Cuban system.

A recent survey by CiberCuba showed that 83% of voters believed that the government should relinquish power, due to its inability to resolve the electrical crisis.

The survey, which involved nearly 6,000 participants, asked what the Cuban authorities should do in response to the ineffectiveness of the electrical system, and the response was clear: 4,960 opted for relinquishing power because they are unable to resolve the crisis.

In recent days, on a Facebook profile an unfounded and unsubstantiated rumor about Castro, who is 94 years old, was amplified.

The regime's hermeticism creates a vacuum that is filled with speculation and rumors, especially in a context where the death of figures like Castro is associated with potential political changes.

Frequently Asked Questions about the Perception of Changes in Cuba Following the Death of Raúl Castro

What do Cubans think about the future of Cuba after Raúl Castro's death?

Most Cubans believe that the death of Raúl Castro will not bring significant changes to the country. According to a CiberCuba survey, 63% of voters think the system will remain the same, while only 9% believe there could be a crisis and opening. This reflects a widespread skepticism about the possibility of immediate political or social transformations in Cuba.

How do Cubans perceive the government's ability to resolve the electrical crisis?

A large majority of Cubans distrust that the government can resolve the electrical crisis. A previous survey by CiberCuba indicated that 83% of participants believed the government should hand over power due to its inability to manage the energy crisis. This perception adds to the frustration over unfulfilled promises and the prolonged blackouts affecting the country.

What is the situation of the food crisis in Cuba according to Cubans?

94% of Cubans do not trust that the government will resolve the food crisis. A survey from the Food Monitor Program reveals that the majority of Cuban households believe the government has neither the interest nor the ability to improve food security, in a context of structural deterioration and distrust towards state institutions.

What measures do Cubans consider necessary to improve the situation in the country?

Many Cubans believe that structural reforms and a change of power are needed to improve the situation in the country. Surveys and comments on social media reflect a widespread feeling that makeshift solutions have failed and that only a change in the leadership of the country could initiate effective reconstruction.

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CiberCuba Editorial Team

A team of journalists committed to reporting on Cuban current affairs and topics of global interest. At CiberCuba, we work to deliver truthful news and critical analysis.