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An independent survey on political and social perspectives in Cuba closed with 42,263 valid responses and revealed that 60.9% of participants support direct military intervention from the United States, while 64.9% favor the overthrow of the current government "by any means necessary, including armed conflict," according to the preliminary results published.
In the question about forms of external pressure —with the option to select multiple answers— direct military intervention by the U.S. led with 60.9%.
They were followed by sanctions specifically aimed at government officials (54.3%), multilateral diplomatic pressure before the UN, OAS, and EU (49.0%), and international funding for civil society groups (19.1%).
Only 5.2% believed that Cuba should resolve its conflicts internally.
In the question about the preferred way to resolve the political conflict —a single option— 64.9% chose overthrowing by any means, including armed methods.
20.7% preferred dialogue and a negotiated transition, while 10.1% favored peaceful social mobilization. Only 1.9% opted for a gradual reform from within the government itself.
The 96% believes a political change in Cuba is urgent.
Other survey data reinforces the widespread rejection of the current system: 99% support the elimination of the Communist Party as the sole party, 80% back a transition towards a model of liberal democracy and a market economy, and 94% declare themselves very dissatisfied with the current political system.
Only 4.7% blame the American embargo for the country's problems, while 82.2% point to the lack of civil and political liberties as the main issue.
These results align with those of a survey by the Miami Herald conducted in April among 800 Cubans and Cuban-Americans in southern Florida, which indicated that 79% support a U.S. military intervention in Cuba. Fernand Amandi, president of Bendixen & Amandi International, interpreted these results as a "green light" for the Trump administration to take military action.
The survey was promoted by a coalition of more than 20 independent digital media outlets and civil society actors in Cuba, and it was launched on April 28.
Of the 42,357 responses received, 94 were excluded (0.22%). 58% of the responses came from within Cuba and 42% from abroad, according to anonymous geolocation.
The regime blocked access to the questionnaire from the very first day, but participants on the island responded using a VPN, highlighting both the information repression and the determination of Cubans to make their voices heard.
The regime reacted with rejection to both polls.
The officialist representative Carlos Miguel Pérez Reyes publicly disqualified the Miami Herald survey on April 16, and the newspaper Granma labeled it as "lies" on April 25.
The official media outlet Razones de Cuba, connected to State Security, branded the digital poll as "statistical fraud" devoid of scientific validity, a reaction that also generated backlash among Cubans.
Amelia Calzadilla, Director of Citizen and Freedom Training and promoter of the survey, highlighted that more than 95% of participants express dissatisfaction with the government management.
The debate over a possible more direct action by Washington against Havana has gained momentum in recent months, in a context of deep crisis marked by widespread blackouts, food shortages, and unprecedented emigration.
The site encuestascuba.net announced the closing of the survey and stated that it will soon publish the full report and microdata for public scrutiny, acknowledging the methodological limitations inherent in an online self-selection survey.
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