The economist Elías Amor concluded his fourth and final program analyzing the 176 economic measures of the Cuban leader Miguel Díaz-Canel with the most striking statement of the entire series: "I have never seen the end so close. I can see it right there."
The excerpt corresponds to the final segment of the program aired on CiberCuba, hosted by Tania Costa, in which Amor concludes his review of the measures approved by the National Assembly on June 18th.
Love bases its optimism on three threads that, in its view, point in the same direction: the movements of GAESA to relocate assets, the pressure from U.S. sanctions, and the approach of the mid-term elections in November in the United States.
Regarding the shareholding changes in the military conglomerate, the economist was blunt: "This is a sign that very clear messages are being conveyed, which we may not hear because we have no reason to hear them, but the business is not stagnant."
He also described GAESA's businesses as "hyper-capillary" and pointed out that the sale of the Mariel Container Terminal —transferred to Coral Marítima S.A. on July 1— is a sign of the real pressure the regime is under.
That pressure has a name and date: GAESA was directly sanctioned on May 7, 2026 under Trump's Executive Order 14404, and on June 23 the United States sanctioned new entities linked to the conglomerate, including AUSA, RAFIN S.A., and BFI.
In the political arena, Amor links the Cuban moment with the American electoral calendar. "I am convinced that for the elections in November, the so-called midterm elections, both Marco Rubio, who is very intelligent, and Donald Trump, cannot proceed without a favorable assessment of the situation in Cuba."
To support his reading, the economist draws on his own life experiences. He recalls that in the 1980s, with Gorbachev's perestroika and glasnost, many expected Cuba to follow the Soviet path, but that did not happen. Now, he warns, the situation is different.
"I have seen a dictatorship fall here in Spain, and it seemed unbelievable that Francoism would come to an end, but it fell and disappeared. There was no more talk of Francoism," he stated, drawing a direct parallel with the post-Franco Spanish transition.
The comparison is not rhetorical. Amor, born in Cuba in 1958 and a resident of Spain since 1969, experienced that process firsthand and uses it as a reference to illustrate that dictatorships, no matter how solid they may seem, can collapse. "Let's see if I can witness the second transition in Cuba as well, which I am much more hopeful about, of course," he acknowledged.
The economist also responded humorously to those who accuse him of being overly optimistic—or of working for the CIA—saying, “For many years, I have been heavily criticized for this, and I am also accused of being optimistic, but I just don't want to see reality through sad eyes.”
He reserved his most personal message for a cousin of his: "I tell her: before long we'll be strolling freely along the Malecón, because it's true, there’s no way to stop this and the regime knows it. And therefore, since they know it, they have to step aside and, like in other dictatorships, let the current move forward."
The program concluded with a congratulation to Cuban Americans on this July 4th, the 250th anniversary of the independence of the United States: "250 years of democracy, of freedom, and of respect for individual liberties are not found in many places around the world."
The optimism of Amor is set against a broader climate of expectations. On June 1, the Cuban opposition confirmed in Madrid a four-phase transition plan, and experts like Roberto Fernández Rizo mark the beginning of that process on January 3, 2026, when Cuba's economic dependence on Venezuela was broken.
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