Weather Alert: The likelihood of a tropical depression forming south of Cuba is increasing

The National Hurricane Center (NHC) reported on Thursday that a large area of low pressure is likely to form over the southwestern Caribbean Sea in the coming days.

The bulletin published on the website indicates that the probability of formation is practically zero in the next 48 hours, but rises to 50 percent over the next seven days.

It was also emphasized that a gradual development is expected later on, with the possibility of a tropical depression forming during the weekend or at the beginning of next week, as the system moves northward or northwestward over the central or western Caribbean Sea.

Previously, the NHC had warned of the possibility of a tropical depression forming in the Caribbean, which would be located near the eastern part of Cuba.

At that moment, it was indicated that the low-pressure system was developing and did not pose a threat to Cuba.

However, alarms are rising in the Island at the possibility of it being organized and advancing toward a region that has already been significantly affected by the recent passage of Hurricane Oscar.

In June, meteorologists from Colorado State University (CSU), pioneers in seasonal hurricane forecasting, presented their outlook for the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season and projected that the current season would be "extremely active," with 23 named storms, 11 hurricanes, and five hurricanes of Category 3 or higher.

These figures far exceed the average of the last 30 years, which is 14 named storms, seven hurricanes, and three of these hurricanes being category 3 or higher in the Atlantic, the 44-page report indicates.