Weather Alert: The likelihood of the formation of a tropical depression south of Cuba is increasing

The likelihood of formation is virtually nil in the next 48 hours, but it rises to 50 percent over the next seven days.

Zona monitoreada en el suroeste del Mar Caribe © NOAA
Monitored area in the southwest Caribbean Sea.Photo © NOAA

The National Hurricane Center (NHC) reported this Thursday that a large area of low pressure is likely to develop over the southwestern Caribbean Sea in the coming days.

The bulletin published on the website indicates that the likelihood of formation is virtually zero in the next 48 hours, but it rises to 50 percent over the next seven days.

Facebook Capture / NOAA NWS National Hurricane Center

It was also noted that a gradual development is expected later on, with the possibility of a tropical depression forming during the weekend or early next week, as the system moves north or northwest over the central or western Caribbean Sea.

Previously, the NHC had warned of the possibility of a tropical depression forming in the Caribbean, which would be located in an area near the eastern part of Cuba.

At that moment, he indicated that the low-pressure system was developing and did not pose a threat to Cuba.

However, alarms are sounding on the Island at the prospect of an organization moving toward a region that has already been significantly impacted by the recent passage of Hurricane Oscar.

In June, meteorologists from Colorado State University (CSU), pioneers in seasonal hurricane forecasting, presented their outlook for the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season, predicting that the current season would be "extremely active," with 23 named storms, 11 hurricanes, and five hurricanes of category 3 or higher.

These figures far exceed the average of the last 30 years, which is 14 named storms, seven hurricanes, and three of those hurricanes being category 3 or higher in the Atlantic, according to the 44-page report.

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