The Cuban doctor exiled in the United States Manuel Guerra, who openly identifies with the Republican Party, warned this Sunday that he fears a defeat for his political party in the legislative elections on November 3rd and blamed Donald Trump's administration for what he sees as a buildup of unfulfilled promises, questionable decisions, and an increasing subordination of the party to the figure of the president.
"Mark the date: October 18, 2026," wrote Guerra at the start of a post on his Facebook profile, in which he expressed his concern about the political direction of the United States just weeks before the midterm elections.
"I say this with shame and sorrow, because I am a republican, I defend republican values, and I would have liked my party to win. But I am very afraid that on November 3rd we will lose the House of Representatives and, possibly, also the Senate," he stated.
Guerra attributed his fears to what he considers a presidential administration detached from expectations that led many Republican voters to support Trump.
"And it will not be for lack of opportunities, but rather due to a management characterized by unfulfilled promises, questionable economic decisions, a migration policy full of contradictions, shameful overtures to dictators, and a presidential arrogance that confuses leadership with a cult of personality," he stated.
The doctor insisted that his identification with conservatism and the Republican Party does not mean accepting all the president's decisions without question.
Being a Republican does not mean being a subject of Donald Trump. The principles of a party must take precedence over the ego of any president, he asserted.
The criticism is particularly significant because it comes from a Cuban exile who identifies as right-wing, opposes socialism, and advocates for republican values, yet rejects making loyalty to a leader a political obligation.
Guerra clarified that his concern does not reflect a desire for a Democratic victory. On the contrary, he stated that he would prefer to see the United States thrive under the principles of his party.
"I hope I am wrong. I truly hope I am wrong! I want to see this country thrive under republican values, not under the whims and nonsense of Donald Trump, much less under the progressive wing of the democratic administration," he wrote.
The doctor concluded his reflection with another warning directed at those who, from his perspective, have confused loyalty to conservative values with personal obedience to the president.
"But mark the date: if we lose Congress, we will have to ask ourselves how much it cost us to confuse loyalty to our principles with blind obedience to a man," he concluded.
The statement is not an isolated criticism. In another extensive previous post, titled "Being a Republican Does Not Mean Being Unconditionally Supportive of Donald Trump," Guerra had already expressed his disagreements with various policies of the current U.S. administration.
The doctor then explained that he decided to speak out following the controversies that arose within the Cuban exile community due to Eliécer Ávila's opinions on Trump.
"I am from the right. I identify with the Republican Party and uphold many of the values it has historically represented: individual freedom, private property, personal responsibility, respect for the Constitution, and opposition to totalitarianism," he wrote.
However, he argued that sharing those principles does not mean ignoring what he considers economic mistakes, diplomatic contradictions, and harmful political decisions.
Among his questions were Trump's promises to reduce the cost of living, revitalize the U.S. manufacturing industry through tariffs, avoid new wars, and achieve a quick solution to the conflict between Russia and Ukraine.
According to Guerra, the results of the administration have not met those expectations. He criticized that American households continue to face high costs of food, housing, insurance, and electricity, and questioned the economic effects of tariffs on businesses and consumers.
He also expressed concern about Washington's foreign policy, particularly regarding negotiations with Russia and U.S. decisions related to Venezuela.
In the Venezuelan case, Guerra acknowledged the significance he attributes to the capture of Nicolás Maduro, but he questioned whether this event could alone be presented as a complete democratic transition.
The doctor expressed his dissatisfaction with the presence of figures from chavismo in positions of power and with certain U.S. decisions regarding sanctions and economic relations with Caracas.
"But let's not confuse an agreement favorable to Washington with the liberation of Venezuela," he warned.
Its argument is that the departure of a ruler does not necessarily guarantee the recovery of democratic institutions, the holding of free elections, or the end of political persecution.
One of the most extensive sections of his reflection was dedicated to Cuba, a country from which he left after facing harassment and reprisals for his critical stance against the regime.
Guerra stated that Cubans themselves bear the primary responsibility to achieve their freedom, but he rejected the idea of calling for a popular uprising without taking into account the conditions of repression and vulnerability in which the population lives.
He also questioned the effectiveness of certain economic and energy pressure measures promoted by Washington against the Cuban regime.
«What is the purpose of a maximum pressure policy if it only suffocates the population even more without dismantling the dictatorship?», he asked.
The doctor clarified that he does not intend to justify the funding from the Cuban government or to hold Trump accountable for not carrying out a military intervention, but he considers it legitimate to assess the humanitarian impact of U.S. measures.
"Because for me, the purpose of any policy towards Cuba must be the freedom of the Cuban people, not simply to increase their misery," he expressed.
In his message, Guerra also made a comparison between the cult of personality imposed for decades by Fidel Castro in Cuba and what he sees as a trend among certain sectors of the exile community to treat Trump as an unquestionable political figure.
“Are we really going to reproduce that mentality in exile?”, he asked, before rejecting the notion that any questioning of the U.S. president should be automatically interpreted as an alignment with the left.
"I don't need to become a Democrat to criticize a Republican president," he stated.
For Guerra, political debate should allow for acknowledging a leader's successes and questioning their mistakes without demanding unconditional personal loyalty.
"I don't have to change my ideology to acknowledge that Donald Trump is making mistakes," he stated.
The reflection concluded with a phrase that summarizes his stance on freedom of thought and the experience of the Cuban exile: “I did not leave Cuba to change masters. I left Cuba to be free.”
Manuel Guerra is a Cuban doctor specialized in Obstetrics and Gynecology who gained prominence for his complaints about the healthcare situation in Cuba and for his confrontations with the political authorities in the years leading up to his departure from the country.
In November 2020, he was arrested at his home in Holguín by State Security agents, after publicly expressing his support for the San Isidro Movement and denouncing the restrictions on individual freedoms in Cuba.
In 2021, he participated in reports concerning the conditions of hospitals and the shortage of resources to confront the COVID-19 pandemic. His activism sparked new pressures from health and political authorities.
In October of that year, he was expelled from his job in the Cuban healthcare system, a decision he denounced as retaliation for his political views.
In March 2022, he arrived in the United States after traveling through several countries and crossing the border from Mexico, in a journey he described as particularly difficult.
Once settled in U.S. territory, he took on various jobs while seeking to re-enter the healthcare sector. In April 2023, he announced that he had obtained a license as a medical assistant and secured a position at a clinic.
In October 2025, he once again denounced the deterioration of Cuban healthcare, describing it as "a dying organism, corroded by misery," referring to the hospital conditions, the shortage of medications, and the emigration of professionals.
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