The 2025 hurricane season begins this June 1st in the northern Atlantic basin, including the Gulf of Mexico and the Caribbean Sea, with a 50% chance of a hurricane impacting Cuba.
Meteorology Institute (INSMET) specialists anticipate the formation of at least 15 tropical storms, of which eight could reach hurricane status, according to a report by the Cuban News Agency (ACN).
Out of the total number of named tropical cyclones expected, 10 would originate in the Atlantic Ocean, three in the Caribbean Sea, and two in the Gulf of Mexico.
Likewise, the likelihood of at least one hurricane forming and intensifying in the Caribbean is high (75%), while there is a 50% chance that one originating from the Atlantic will enter the Caribbean Sea.
Thus, the oceanic and atmospheric conditions of the Atlantic Ocean, the Gulf of Mexico, and the Caribbean Sea in 2025 will be favorable for an active hurricane season once again
The hurricane season will last until next Sunday, November 30.
The 2024 season recorded 18 named storms: seven tropical storms and 11 hurricanes, of which five reached category 3 or higher, on a scale of a maximum of five in the Saffir-Simpson scale.
International scientists predict even more storms
The forecast issued by Colorado State University (CSU), one of the most followed worldwide, agrees that the 2025 season will be more active than usual. According to CSU, 17 named storms, nine hurricanes, and four of major intensity (category 3 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson scale) are expected.
These figures exceed historical averages and reflect the ongoing pattern of extremely high cyclonic activity in the Atlantic, which is particularly dangerous for the Caribbean islands and the southeastern United States.
Official list of names for 2025
The Atlantic tropical storms and hurricanes of 2025 will carry the following names, in alphabetical order:
Andrea, Barry, Chantal, Dexter, Erin, Fernand, Gabrielle, Humberto, Imelda, Jerry, Karen, Lorenzo, Melissa, Nestor, Olga, Pablo, Rebekah, Sebastien, Tanya, Van, and Wendy.
This list is reused every six years, although the names of particularly destructive storms can be permanently removed.
Frequently asked questions about the 2025 hurricane season in Cuba
What is the likelihood that Cuba will be impacted by a hurricane in 2025?
The probability that Cuba will be impacted by at least one hurricane in 2025 is 50%. This figure is higher than the national historical average, which is 35%. Furthermore, the probability of a tropical storm affecting the island is even greater, reaching 70%, according to the Cuban Meteorology Institute.
How many storms and hurricanes are expected in the 2025 hurricane season?
For the 2025 hurricane season, 15 tropical storms are expected, of which eight could develop into hurricanes. According to Colorado State University, there could be as many as 17 named storms, nine hurricanes, and four of major intensity. These figures exceed historical averages and suggest a more active season than usual.
What are the factors that contribute to an active hurricane season in 2025?
The elevated sea temperatures in the Atlantic and the Caribbean are key factors for an active hurricane season in 2025. Additionally, the La Niña phenomenon is weakening, giving way to neutral ENSO conditions, which favor the development of cyclones. A more intense West African monsoon is also expected, which may generate more tropical waves.
What names will be used for storms in the 2025 hurricane season?
The names for tropical storms and hurricanes in 2025 include: Andrea, Barry, Chantal, Dexter, Erin, Fernand, Gabrielle, Humberto, Imelda, Jerry, Karen, Lorenzo, Melissa, Nestor, Olga, Pablo, Rebekah, Sebastien, Tanya, Van, and Wendy. This list is reused every six years, unless a name is retired due to its devastating impact.
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