Depression 2 of the season in the Gulf of Mexico became Tropical Storm Barry this Sunday.
According to the report issued by the U.S. National Hurricane Center (NHC), it is a weak system that will bring heavy rain and tropical storm winds to the eastern coast of Mexico.
Barry, the second named storm of the Atlantic season, poses no threat to Cuba.
In the southeastern United States, an area near the Florida peninsula shows a low probability of cyclonic development that we should monitor over the next seven days.
According to the NHC, it is possible that a low-pressure area will develop in this region due to a frontal system, which could lead to a tropical or subtropical cyclone.
This Sunday, the weather forecast predicts a warm afternoon for Cuba with some rain in the east. In the rest of the country, there will be mostly clear skies, according to the report from the Meteorology Institute.
In addition, by the end of the morning it will be partly cloudy and will cloud over in the eastern region with some showers, rain, and thunderstorms, mainly in the interior and southern areas.
In the west and center, the rainfall will be more isolated.
Active season ahead
The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 to November 30, and NOAA has predicted an above-average year, with up to 19 named storms and 10 hurricanes, a concerning trend amid ocean warming.
Meanwhile, in the eastern Pacific, tropical cyclone activity has been intense, with five cyclones formed to date, including Hurricane Erick, which struck southern Mexico as a Category 3, resulting in one fatality and significant damage.
Meanwhile, specialists from the Institute of Meteorology (INSMET) anticipate the formation of at least 15 tropical storms, of which eight could reach hurricane status, according to a report from the Cuban News Agency.
Of the total number of named tropical cyclones expected, 10 would originate in the Atlantic Ocean, three in the Caribbean Sea, and two in the Gulf of Mexico.
Likewise, the chances of at least one hurricane forming and intensifying in the Caribbean are high (75%), while the probability of an Atlantic-origin hurricane entering the Caribbean Sea is 50%.
In this way, the oceanic and atmospheric conditions of the Atlantic Ocean, the Gulf of Mexico, and the Caribbean Sea in 2025 will be favorable for another active hurricane season
Frequently Asked Questions about Tropical Storm Barry and the 2025 Hurricane Season
What impact will Tropical Storm Barry have on Mexico?
Tropical Storm Barry will bring heavy rain and tropical storm winds to the east coast of Mexico. According to the U.S. National Hurricane Center, Barry is a weak system, but it is expected to cause intense rainfall in the region. It is important for communities in the affected area to take precautions to prevent flooding and wind damage.
Does Tropical Storm Barry pose a threat to Cuba?
Barry poses no threat to Cuba. Despite its formation in the Gulf of Mexico, the storm will not impact Cuban territory. The weather conditions on the island are influenced by other factors, such as Sahara dust and high-pressure systems that maintain a dry and stable climate.
What is expected for the 2025 hurricane season in the Atlantic?
The 2025 hurricane season is expected to be more active than usual. The NOAA and Colorado State University have forecasted between 17 and 19 named storms, of which 9 to 10 could develop into hurricanes. The warming of the Atlantic Ocean is a key factor contributing to this outlook.
What is the probability that Cuba will be impacted by a hurricane in 2025?
There is a 50% chance that Cuba will be impacted by a hurricane in 2025. Additionally, there is a 70% likelihood that at least one tropical storm will directly affect the island. These percentages are higher than the historical average and reflect a significant risk for the country.
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