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The National Hurricane Center of the United States (NHC) issued a warning on Thursday about a tropical wave located in the central Atlantic that could slowly develop as it moves toward the central Caribbean in the coming days.
According to the official bulletin issued at 2:00 p.m. (Eastern Time), the wave is moving west at a speed of between 15 and 20 miles per hour, with conditions that could enhance its organization once it reaches the warm waters of the Caribbean.
“A tropical wave located over the central tropical Atlantic could slowly develop as it reaches the central portion of the Caribbean Sea by the middle of next week,” stated the NHC in its report, signed by forecaster Michael Cangialosi.
Currently, the U.S. center estimates a low probability of formation: 0% in the next 48 hours and 20% in seven days.
However, meteorological authorities insist on maintaining active monitoring due to the persistence of elevated ocean temperatures, which could promote a faster development than anticipated.
Experts remember that October is one of the most dangerous months of the year for hurricane formation in the Caribbean, especially for Cuba, the western Caribbean Sea, and the Gulf of Mexico.
From the Ciego de Ávila Provincial Meteorological Center, specialist R. Galardy warned that Caribbean waters are maintaining high temperatures, creating a favorable environment for the development of tropical cyclones.
The paths of tropical systems in October tend to shift closer to Cuban territory, increasing the threat to the country, the meteorologist stated in a statement published on social media.
Among the historical events of this month, 13 tropical cyclones have been recorded that have impacted the Avilan province, ranging from depressions to category 1 hurricanes on the Saffir-Simpson scale.
Experts recommend that the population of Cuba and the Caribbean stay informed through the official channels of the meteorological service, review family plans for hurricanes, secure homes, and avoid complacency following the peak of the cyclone season in September.
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