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The strategy of the Donald Trump administration towards Cuba goes beyond a political change and aims at a profound economic reconfiguration of the island, amid rising tensions in the Caribbean and an increasingly complex international landscape.
A recent report by The Atlantic argues that Washington's approach not only seeks to pressure the Cuban regime but also aims to open the country to a phase of investment and economic control under terms favorable to the United States.
"There are billions of dollars at stake," said an official to the American media.
In this context, the structural crisis that Cuba is experiencing—characterized by fuel shortages, blackouts, and the deterioration of basic services—is not only seen as a political pressure factor but also as an opportunity to redesign its economic model.
The strategy would seek to facilitate a transition that allows for a massive influx of capital, particularly in sectors such as tourism, infrastructure, and real estate development.
Some analysts compare this approach to a kind of "reorganization" of the country, similar to a controlled bankruptcy process, where basic structures are maintained but economic mechanisms are transformed to make them more compatible with the market and foreign investment.
This movement also has a clear geopolitical dimension. The control of energy flow to the island, including restrictions on oil supply, is part of a broader strategy to limit the influence of actors like Russia and strengthen the position of the United States in the Western Hemisphere.
In parallel, within Trump's circle, there is an interest in avoiding a disorderly collapse that could lead to a migratory crisis towards Florida, instead favoring a transition that combines internal stability with economic openness. This would include the possibility of working with pragmatic figures within the Cuban system itself.
The outcome that is taking shape would not necessarily be a complete break from the current model, but rather a transformation aimed at integrating Cuba into the economic sphere of the United States, in a scenario where commercial interests could carry as much weight as political objectives.
In any case, the evolution of this plan will depend on key factors such as Havana's willingness to negotiate, the development of the internal crisis, and Washington's global priorities, at a time when the island once again finds itself at the center of the regional geopolitical landscape.
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