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The hurricane Erin, the first of the 2025 Atlantic season, weakened this Sunday to category 3 while moving over the Atlantic north of the Caribbean, after having reached category 5 a day earlier.
According to the National Hurricane Center (NHC) of the United States, Erin is recording maximum sustained winds of 200 km/h and its center was located about 274 kilometers north of San Juan, Puerto Rico, and 434 kilometers east of Grand Turk Island, moving northwest at 22.5 km/h.
Specialists warn that, despite its weakening, Erin remains a hurricane of significant magnitude and danger, with possible fluctuations in intensity in the coming days due to an eye wall replacement cycle.
This phenomenon can temporarily weaken the storm, but it can also allow it to reintensify later.
Currently, a tropical storm warning is in effect for the Turks and Caicos Islands. In Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands, heavy rainfall is being recorded, with totals ranging from 76 to 152 mm, and up to 203 mm in isolated areas.
Strong wave surges and strong rip currents are also expected, which could impact the southeastern coast of the United States by midweek.
Although no direct impact on the continental Cuban or American territory is expected, meteorological authorities advise caution, as the increase in the size of the storm raises the risk of waves and coastal flooding.
In addition to the hurricane, experts are monitoring a tropical wave in the central tropical Atlantic.
Currently, it is located near the Cape Verde Islands, producing disorganized rain and thunderstorms.
It is possible that this system will gradually develop during the middle and later part of the week, as it moves west-northwest at a speed of 15 to 20 miles per hour across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
The probability of formation in the next 48 hours is low (0%), and in the next seven days, it is 20%.
The chance of Cuba being struck by a hurricane during the 2025 hurricane season is 50%.
This percentage exceeds the usual climatic risk for the country, which is 35%. Moreover, the risk of a tropical storm affecting the island is even higher, with a probability of 70%.
The warmer-than-usual temperatures on the surface of the Atlantic and the Caribbean are key factors contributing to a more active hurricane season than normal.
The neutral phase of the ENSO phenomenon (El Niño-Southern Oscillation) and a stronger West African monsoon contribute to the formation and intensification of cyclones in the region.
Frequently Asked Questions about Hurricane Erin and the 2025 Hurricane Season
What is the current situation of Hurricane Erin?
Hurricane Erin has been downgraded to Category 3 as it moves north in the Caribbean. It currently has maximum sustained winds of 200 km/h and is located about 274 kilometers north of San Juan, Puerto Rico.
What impact is expected from Hurricane Erin in the Turks and Caicos Islands?
A tropical storm alert remains in effect for the Turks and Caicos Islands. Although Erin will not directly impact the area, heavy rainfall and swells are expected that could affect the region.
What are the chances of Cuba being affected by a hurricane in 2025?
The probability that Cuba will be hit by a hurricane during the 2025 hurricane season is 50%. This percentage is higher than the usual climatic risk for the country, which stands at 35%.
How is Hurricane Erin affecting Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands?
Intense rainfall is recorded in Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands, with accumulations that could reach up to 203 mm in isolated areas. Coastal swells and rip currents are also expected.
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