The writer and political analyst Orlando Luis Pardo Lazo stated in an interview with CiberCuba that the current Cuban political system can no longer be classified as a revolution or a dictatorship, but rather something qualitatively different and more grave: a regime that is "disconnected from reality" and has lost all capacity to govern.
"There is no longer a revolution in Cuba, there is no longer a dictatorship; what exists is a regime disconnected from reality that cannot provide water, health services, sanitation, electricity, education, sports, television, it cannot provide anything," he declared.
The writer's conclusion is blunt: "That regime does not belong to the realm of the real, it does not belong to the realm of this world."
Pardo Lazo frames his diagnosis within a reflection on what the Cuban people deserve after seven decades of suffering.
"I don’t believe that anyone deserves to live a life that is not bearable. The Cuban people do not deserve it after 70 years of revolution, of dictatorship, whatever you want," he stated.
For the analyst, this total inability to provide basic services is not a temporary crisis but rather a sign that the regime has entered a terminal phase.
"The regime in Havana is the transition, which is relevant at this historical moment," he stated.
The collapse described by Pardo Lazo is backed by concrete figures. In June 2026, Cuba records electricity generation deficits exceeding 2,000 MW during peak hours, with an availability of just 1,000 MW against a demand greater than 3,000 MW.
Around 2.7 million people on the Island suffer from a complete shortage of drinking water, and about 10 million have intermittent supply, according to official data.
The United Nations launched a $94.1 million assistance plan in March to support two million Cubans in 63 municipalities, describing the situation as a crisis of "systemic and growing humanitarian impact."
More than 96,000 surgeries have been postponed, including about 11,000 pediatric procedures, according to a report on the humanitarian crisis in Cuba cited by the UN in April.
The analysis by Pardo Lazo occurs at a moment of maximum tension between Washington and Havana, marked by the visit of the U.S. Secretary of Defense, Pete Hegseth, to the Guantanamo Naval Base on Wednesday, where he warned that the U.S. "is reclaiming our hemisphere."
The Cuban regime responded to Hegseth's statements calling them "completely wrong" through its representative to the UN, Ernesto Soberón Guzmán.
In that context, Pardo Lazo also addressed the question of whether the regime has the capacity to negotiate a solution, and his response was equally severe: "We are in a country that is not only politically leaderless, but also without a voice of a throat cut."
About Miguel Díaz-Canel, the writer was straightforward: "He hasn't said a single word, not even the order to fight."
The intellectual called for someone within the regime to take the initiative to speak directly to the Cuban people and acknowledge the failures of the system: "They have to tell them at this moment that we have failed."
According to the writer, whoever takes that historic step "will gain two million followers on the first day and will become a complete symbolic force."
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