The President of the United States, Donald Trump, issued a strong warning to the Cuban regime by stating that the country "is going to fail" following the collapse of Nicolás Maduro's government and the loss of economic and energy support from Venezuela.
During a interview this Thursday with presenter Sean Hannity, for Fox News, Trump made a series of statements in which he predicted the collapse of Cuba and asserted that Washington is closely watching what happens on the island.
“Cuba is completely dependent on Venezuela for money and oil, and they provide Venezuela with protection. That has always been the deal,” he warned.
Trump described the relationship between Cuba and Venezuela as a trade agreement: oil and money in exchange for protection and military support.
"That was always the agreement," he insisted.
However, he emphasized that this mechanism has ceased to function, and that Cuba, which benefited for decades from Venezuelan oil subsidies and the political support of chavismo, is now facing a completely different scenario.
“It doesn't work that way anymore, so I don't know what Cuba is going to do. I believe Cuba is going to fail," he warned.
The loss of this key connection, according to their analysis, leaves the Cuban government in a state of extreme vulnerability.
Cuba without alternatives, according to Trump
Trump expressed his skepticism about the possibility that the Cuban regime will find new ways to sustain itself without Chavista support.
In his view, there are no viable solutions for the island's economy in this new scenario.
"I don’t think there are alternatives for Cuba. I don’t know how they survive without Venezuela," he reiterated.
These statements reinforce the narrative that the survival of the Cuban regime is closely tied to the economic support from Caracas, and that, with the disappearance of this backing, the government of Havana will inevitably face collapse.
Trump rules out military action against Cuba (for now)
Despite the hardening of his rhetoric, Trump clarified that he does not consider direct military action against Cuba necessary at this time.
He stated that the island is already experiencing a process of structural decline, and that shifts in regional dynamics will play a key role in further weakening the regime.
"Cuba is already facing a structural decline," he said. "We'll see what happens. We want to do something to help Cuba, yes," he added.
The president stated that the priority of the United States is to support the peoples of Latin America who seek to free themselves from authoritarian regimes, and he specifically mentioned his desire to help Cubans in exile.
"I want to help Cubans in the United States, who were treated so poorly by Castro," he stated.
"The Revenge of Marco"
In the same interview, Trump was asked about the role of Republican Senator Marco Rubio, known for his firm stance against the regimes of Cuba and Venezuela.
When Hannity suggested that some viewed Maduro's downfall as "Marco's revenge," Trump responded ambiguously, but did not dismiss the idea.
"Maybe it was," he said, referring to the nickname that has circulated in conservative media.
The president also took the opportunity to praise Rubio, of Cuban descent, noting that he "knows Cuba very well" and that there are "many wonderful people" of Cuban origin in the United States.
Maximum tension in the Washington-Havana axis
Trump's statements come at a particularly sensitive time for the Cuban regime.
The fall of Maduro, a strategic and ideological ally of Havana, has reconfigured power relations in Latin America and left Cuba isolated on many fronts.
Trump's message, while not announcing an immediate change in policy toward the island, does suggest that Cuba could be the next target on the White House's agenda of pressure.
The statement that "I don't know what Cuba is going to do" and that "it will fail" becomes a warning sign, while also reflecting the geopolitical shift occurring in the region.
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