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A large area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave over the eastern Atlantic has meteorologists on alert due to its high potential to develop into a depression or tropical storm in the coming days, heading towards the Caribbean.
The National Hurricane Center (NHC) reported that the system, identified as AL91, is currently located in the eastern tropical Atlantic and is generating an unorganized area of showers and thunderstorms.
Atmospheric conditions are favorable for its cyclonic development, which could turn it into a tropical depression over the weekend or at the beginning of next week, as it slowly moves westward at a speed of 5 to 10 miles per hour.
"It is likely that this system will be near the Lesser Antilles by the middle or end of next week," the NHC warned in its morning report this Friday.
The chances of cyclonic formation are estimated at 60% over the next 48 hours and 90% over the next seven days, indicating active monitoring by meteorological services and authorities in the Caribbean region.
The system still does not have a name or official status as a tropical depression. Its potential evolution and trajectory mean that residents of the Lesser Antilles and other Caribbean islands need to stay alert to its progress in the coming days.
In the case of Cuba, there is growing concern that forecasts increasingly place the island within the path of this potential tropical cyclone.
The NHC reminded that the information published in Spanish is an automatic translation and that the original English version is the authoritative one for official purposes and specialized follow-up.
Frequently asked questions about the cyclonic threat heading to the Caribbean
What is the probability that the tropical wave will turn into a storm heading towards the Caribbean?
The probability of cyclonic formation is 60% in the next 48 hours and 90% in the next seven days. This indicates that system AL91 has a high potential to develop into a depression or tropical storm as it approaches the Caribbean.
What is the expected trajectory for the AL91 system?
The projected path for the AL91 system is to move west at a speed of between 5 and 10 miles per hour, approaching the Lesser Antilles by the middle or end of next week, which has raised concerns in the Caribbean region.
What conditions favor the cyclonic development of a tropical wave?
The atmospheric and oceanic conditions are favorable for cyclonic development due to factors such as warm ocean temperatures, low wind shear, and high humidity in the region, which allows the AL91 system to strengthen.
What impact could the AL91 system have in Cuba?
Although it is still uncertain, there is concern about Cuba being included in the potential trajectory cone of the tropical cyclone. Historically, September has been a critical month for the impact of hurricanes in Cuba, so the population is advised to stay informed through official channels.
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